Wos Açık Erişimli Yayınlar

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Author: search.filters.author.Ciftci, OrcunSubject: search.filters.subject.mortality

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    Prognostic value of MELD-XI score in patients referring to the emergency department with acute ST elevation myocardial infarction
    (2020) Celik, Olgun; Ciftci, Orcun; Mudderisoglu, Ibrahim Haldun; 0000-0001-8926-9142; 0000-0002-7190-5443; W-5233-2018; AAD-5477-2021
    Objective: We aimed to evaluate Model for End-stage Liver Disease excluding international normalized ratio (MELD-XI) score for prediction of 30-day in-hospital mortality in a cohort of patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction. Methods: The medical records of a total of 256 patients admitted with ST elevation myocardial infarction to the emergency department between January 2015 and January 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. A total of 111 patients were found eligible for the study. MELD-XI score was analyzed and compared on the basis of survival status. Results: A total of 111 patients with a mean age of 62.5 +/- 2.55 years were included in the study. In total, 81% (n = 90) of the patients were male and 19% (n = 21) were female. The mean MELD-XI score of the patients was 10.1 +/- 1.1. A total of 12 patients (12.9%) died within 30 days after hospitalization. The median MELD-XI score of the patients who died in the hospital was significantly higher than the patients survived (11.0 (10.5-11.6) vs 9.5 (9.4-13.8); p < 0.01). However, Gensini score was not significantly different between the surviving and deceased patients (p > 0.05). MELD-XI score was significantly correlated to left ventricular ejection fraction (r = -232, p < 0.01), and both parameters and age were significant independent predictors of in-hospital mortality (odds ratio: 1.73, 95% confidence interval: 1.25-2.39, p < 0.05; odds ratio: 0.89, 95% confidence interval: 0.81-0.99, p < 0.05; and odds ratio: 1.07, 95% confidence interval: 0.99-1.15, p < 0.05, respectively). A MELD-XI cut-off point of 10 had a sensitivity of 100% and a specificity of 78.8% for in-hospital mortality (area under receiver operating characteristics curve: 0.92, 95% confidence interval: 0.87-0.97, p < 0.05). A survival analysis based on a MELD-XI threshold of 10 revealed that the patients in the high-MELD-XI group had a significantly worse in-hospital survival (log rank test p < 0.001). Conclusion: MELD-XI score is a useful tool for in-hospital mortality prediction in patients referring to emergency medicine with acute ST elevation myocardial infarction.
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    MELD-XI score predicts in-hospital mortality independent of simplified pulmonary embolism severity index among patients with intermediate-to-high risk acute pulmonary thromboembolism
    (2019) Ciftci, Orcun; Celik, Casit Olgun; Uzar, Guldeniz; Kupeli, Elif; Muderrisoglu, Ibrahim Haldun; 31709948
    Introduction: Acute pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE) is a highly morbid and fatal condition. Although several risk stratification models exist for prediction of mortality risk in PTE, no study has yet focused on the effect of impaired vital organ function, such as renal or hepatic impairment, on mortality in PTE. MELD-XI (Model for end-stage liver disease excluding INR) score predicts mortality among patients with end-stage hepatic and cardiovascular disorders. Herein, we aimed to test MELD-XI score for predicting in-hospital prognosis of patients with intermediate-to-high risk acute PTE. Materials and Methods: We reviewed the medical records patients older than 18 years hospitalized with intermediate-to-high risk PTE between 01.06.2011 and 01.01.2019. Simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI) score and MELD-XI score were calculated, and in-hospital mortality determined. MELD-XI score was compared between patients with and without in-hospital mortality and was correlated to sPESI score. The predictive power of MELD-XI score for in-hospital mortality was sought and an in-hospital survival analysis with Kaplan Meier curve and log-rank test was done for MELD-XI score. Results: A total of 104 patients [mean age of 70.8 +/- 15.9 years; 68 (65.4%) females]. Fourteen (13.5%) patients died at hospital. MELD-XI and sPESI scores were significantly correlated to each other and were higher in deceased patients than the survivors [17.3 (IQR 14.3) vs. 10.12 (IQR 2.99); p < 0.05 and 2 (IQR 1) vs. 1 (IQR 1); p < 0.05, respectively]. MELD-XI score and sPESI score were significant predictor of in-hospital mortality in multivariate analysis. A MELD-XI score >= 10.25 had a sensitivity of 78.6% and a specificity of 70.0% for in-hospital mortality. A survival analysis revealed that a high MELD-XI category (MELD-XI score >= 10.2) significantly worsened in-hospital survival (p < 0.01; log rank test). Conclusion: MELD-XI score performs well for mortality prediction among patients with intermediate-to-high risk PTE. This subject needs to be further studied by large, randomized controlled studies.